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2021 – จนถึงตอนนี้: เรื่องราวสูงสุดที่น่าตื่นเต้นกว่าการล้างแบบตรงๆ
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2021 เพิ่งเริ่มต้นขึ้น แต่เราได้แจ้งข่าวที่น่าตื่นเต้นให้กับเราแล้วซึ่งน่าประทับใจยิ่งกว่าการชนะโป๊กเกอร์แบบฟลัช เกมที่น่าตื่นเต้นเกิดขึ้นสถิติใหม่ถูกทำลายและเหตุการณ์อื่น ๆ อีกมากมายดึงดูดความสนใจของผู้เล่นโป๊กเกอร์ออนไลน์ทั่วโลก ตอนนี้คุณมีโอกาสที่จะค้นพบข่าวสารล่าสุดในอุตสาหกรรมโป๊กเกอร์เนื่องจากเราได้รวบรวมรายงานล่าสุดไว้ในที่เดียว! พร้อมหรือยังว่าปี 2021 ส่งผลกระทบต่ออุตสาหกรรมเกมแล้วหรือยัง? เรื่องโป๊กเกอร์ 3 อันดับแรกที่คุณต้องรู้ บางคนอาจกล่าวว่าปี 2564 เป็นปีที่ค่อนข้างท่วมท้น ใช่การแพร่ระบาดไม่ได้หายไปอย่างน่าอัศจรรย์หลังจากที่เราเปลี่ยนปฏิทิน แต่ไม่ได้หมายความว่าสิ่งที่น่าสนใจจะไม่เกิดขึ้น ในทางตรงกันข้าม! อุตสาหกรรมโป๊กเกอร์ออนไลน์เต็มไปด้วยข่าวที่น่าตื่นเต้นที่ได้รับความสนใจจากผู้คนนับล้าน นี่คือเรื่องราวล่าสุดบางส่วนที่ประดับประดาหน้าจอของเราในช่วงไม่กี่สัปดาห์ที่ผ่านมา: รายได้ของโป๊กเกอร์เพนซิลเวเนียเพิ่มสูงขึ้นอย่างรวดเร็ว หลังจากสิ้นเดือนมกราคมของทุกปีจะมีการเปิดเผยรายงานสิ้นปีซึ่งแสดงให้เห็นว่าปีก่อนหน้านี้ทำกำไรได้อย่างไรสำหรับผู้ให้บริการโป๊กเกอร์ออนไลน์ และปีนี้ก็ไม่ต่างกัน! เมื่อมีตัวเลขเข้ามาก็เห็นได้ชัดว่าในช่วงไม่กี่เดือนที่ผ่านมามีสถานที่เล่นโป๊กเกอร์ในสหรัฐอเมริกาให้ผลกำไรมาก แต่ข้อมูลสำคัญแสดงให้เห็นว่ารายได้เดือนธันวาคมของเพนซิลเวเนียสูงที่สุดในรอบ 5 เดือน จากตัวเลขเดือนสุดท้ายของปี 2020 มีรายได้ 2.72 ล้านดอลลาร์โดยมีรายได้เฉลี่ยต่อวันที่ 88,056 ดอลลาร์ เมื่อเทียบกับรายได้ต่อวันของเดือนที่แล้วที่ 80,308 ดอลลาร์เห็นได้ชัดว่าโป๊กเกอร์ออนไลน์ได้รับความนิยมมากกว่าที่เคยใน Keystone State สถิติยังแสดงให้เห็นว่ารายได้เพิ่มขึ้น 10.38% ในหนึ่งปี ปีแล้วปีเล่า. ย้อนกลับไปในเดือนธันวาคม 2019 รายรับอยู่ที่ 2,473,137 ดอลลาร์ซึ่งนับว่าค่อนข้างดี คนดังเล่นโป๊กเกอร์เพื่อการกุศลทุกงานที่มีคนดังหลายคนมักจะดึงดูดความสนใจจากสาธารณชน และจะมีอะไรดีไปกว่าการได้เห็นพวกเขามารวมตัวกันด้วยเหตุผลที่ดี? แฮงค์อาซาเรียเป็นเจ้าภาพเกมโป๊กเกอร์เสมือนจริงและมีนักแสดงร่วมจอนแฮมไมเคิลเซราดอนชีเดิลไมเคิลเอียนแบล็กและจอชชาร์ลส์ ผู้เล่นเหล่านี้รวมถึง Azaria และ Cheadle เป็นที่รู้จักในฐานะผู้เล่นที่ค่อนข้างแข็งแกร่งเนื่องจากพวกเขาได้เข้าร่วมกิจกรรมการกุศลโป๊กเกอร์หลายครั้งในช่วงหลายปีที่ผ่านมา ผู้เล่นโป๊กเกอร์ที่ค่อนข้างใหม่ได้เข้าร่วมกับพวกเขา แต่ความแตกต่างในระดับทักษะไม่เป็นอุปสรรคในครั้งนี้ ในระหว่างทัวร์นาเมนต์ที่ไม่เหมือนใครนี้ไม่มีใครถูกคัดออกเนื่องจากผู้เล่นมีโอกาสซื้อชิปอีกครั้งเมื่อพวกเขาหมด ในตอนท้ายของกิจกรรมผู้เล่นแต่ละคนออกจากโต๊ะพร้อมกับเงินสดในกระเป๋า และแต่ละคนตัดสินใจที่จะเสนอเงินเพื่อวัตถุประสงค์ที่แตกต่างกัน Michael Cera ผู้ชนะในกิจกรรมนี้ได้รับรางวัล $ 20,000 จากการกุศล First Respondents First Charity ในที่สุดความท้าทายของ Civil v Negreanu ก็เสร็จสมบูรณ์แล้ว! หลังจากเฝ้าดูอย่างดุเดือดมาหลายเดือนการแข่งขันระหว่างแดเนียลเนเกรอานูและดั๊กโพลค์ก็เริ่มต้นขึ้นและจบลง Polk เป็นผู้นำแมตช์นี้ตั้งแต่เริ่มต้นและดูเหมือนว่า Negreanu จะหยุดพักไม่ได้เป็นเวลานาน หลังจากเซสชั่น Negreanu เสียเงินมากขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ จากคู่ต่อสู้ที่มีพลังสูงของเขา อย่างไรก็ตามในเดือนมกราคมเขาสามารถเปลี่ยนสิ่งต่างๆได้ ในการประชุมที่ประสบความสำเร็จ Negreanu สามารถกู้คืนได้ $ 436,000 - ลดการขาดดุลลงเกือบครึ่งหนึ่ง และถึงแม้ว่าเขาจะสามารถเขย่า Polk ได้สักพัก แต่คนหลังก็ฟื้นตัวได้เร็วพอสมควร ในตอนท้ายของการแข่งขันเมื่อมือโปรทั้งสองบรรลุเป้าหมายในการเล่น 25,000 มือ Doug Polk ได้รับการประกาศให้เป็นผู้ชนะ เขาทิ้งเงินรางวัล 1.2 ล้านดอลลาร์พิสูจน์ว่าเขาเป็นผู้เล่นที่แข็งแกร่งกว่า อย่างไรก็ตาม Negreanu ต่อสู้กับการต่อสู้ที่ยุติธรรมและสามารถรักษาศีรษะของเขาให้สูงได้โดยรู้ว่าเขาทำทุกอย่างในสถานการณ์ที่ยากลำบาก บทสรุปในปี 2021 ภายในเวลาไม่ถึงหนึ่งเดือนเรามีเรื่องราวของโป๊กเกอร์ที่น่าจดจำ มีอะไรให้เราอีกบ้าง? มารอดูกัน!
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Increase in Online Gambling Activity for Belfast 2021
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While lockdown measures have been relaxed in various regions, Northern Ireland still has full lockdown measures in place. This has resulted in a growing number of citizens taking interest in online gambling with the numbers only expected to increase. Predictions for 2021 show that with the second lockdown in place Belfast can prepare for the second wave of increased play. Lockdown Gameplay Increase Since the first shutdown in March 2020, there was a large increase in bets with more than 1 million placed between Northern Ireland and the UK. With the second lockdown enforced the number of bets placed skyrocketed once again. This despite the cancellation of sports events in 2020. Many believed there would be a decrease in gambling as sports betting made up 75% of the UK betting market. Sport is a determining factor in the price drop for many of the gambling companies. The lack of sports betting did not deter growth for the industry, instead, it encouraged players to switch to online casinos and explore placing bets on slot machines. According to statistics, this switch looks like it will continue straight through 2021. William Brown from Megaways Casino revealed that with people being forced to stay in-doors it pushes them to boredom leading them to seek alternative methods of entertainment. Brown continued, saying that the internet makes it easy to gamble online allowing visitors to access sites such as Megaways Casino no matter where they might be located. With another lockdown in the UK and Wales, the stats have shown even more people turning towards their computers for online casino entertainment. Outdated Laws Due for an Upgrade Across the world, countries are focusing on increasing regulations and improving the current laws for better regulations. In Northern Ireland there is a need for updates to the outdated laws as the country’s gambling is still regulated by the 1985 Order based on an old Great Britain law from the 1960s. In Britain, the laws were replaced by the 2005 Gambling Act, but Northern Ireland never followed suit. Instead, it stuck to the old rules and now various prominent Northern Irish politicians are calling for a revival/change of these outdated gambling laws. As for the UK, there has been a lot of movement in terms of regulatory changes with a current review of the 2005 Gambling Act. While the 2005 Gambling Act is professionally written and covers a wide range of aspects within the industry it is not deemed ‘fit for the digital age’. Therefore, it is being reviewed with results expected to be published on March 31st, 2021. The review will be a broad outline of all the changes required to update the Act according to industry standards. Safety a Priority Apart from tighter regulations being put in place, the top priority will be to make the industry a safer place for gamblers. Of course, there are those critics who believe tighter regulations will only lead to growth in the online gambling black market. Already there is a large influx in the number of unregulated online casinos accepting UK players. Despite this the government will be looking into decreasing the max stake limits, win limits and add more tools to enhance the safety of the gaming environment for avid players. The objective is to get the industry up to speed with the digital landscape instead of continuing to follow outdated rules and regulations. There is hope that Northern Ireland officials will take note of warnings and follow UK footsteps in giving a much-needed upgrade/reboot to the current regulations.
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iGaming NEXT: POWER Hour kicks off 2021 with a look ahead
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The iGaming NEXT: POWER Hour is back, starting 2021 with a great lineup of conversation on Friday, January 15. This monthly series of social digital gatherings is starting the year off right with four great topics nine amazing participants.At 3:00 CEST, Green Jade Games’ Chairman Jesper Kärrbrink starts us off with an Industry update. Although he’s only slated to speak for 10 minutes, Kärrbrink always has a great perspective on the gaming industry and the world beyond it, and it could just be the best 10 minutes of your day.Following that is a Fireside Chat on “Is Entertainment the future for iGaming? Nicola Longmuir, CCO of Push Gaming will be joined by Sam Brown, CCO of Hero Gaming, and continue iGaming NEXT Online’s look at how gambling can learn from the entertainment industry.At 3:30 CEST, Better Collective’s Head of strategic events Shona ODonnell will be joined by Hero Gaming CMO Scott Dodson for the Fireside Chat: “That’s entertainment! With the rise of addictive technology, how can gambling compete for consumers time in what is a largely unregulated marketplace for its competitors.” The question is right there in the title, you have to tune in to see what their answer is.Finally, the POWER Hour ends with a Panel Discussion on the “Trends for Growth in 2021.” Discussing what will work best for the year will be Rhi Burns, Chief Commercial Officer, Annamaria Anastasi and Magnus Axelsson, Sales Managers at Zimpler, and Sarah Psalla, Business Development Sales at Zimpler.iGaming NEXT has quickly made a name for themselves in the gambling industry by delivering a different kind of discussion for the gambling industry. As co-founder and Managing Director Pierre Lindh told us in October, the series was designed to offer something a little different, and bring a TED talk feel to the gaming space.It’s free to join the iGaming NEXT: POWER Hour, so there’s really no miss it. Just sign up here, or check their website to see previous POWER Hours. You can also check out our previous coverage of iGaming NEXT Online to get a taste of what to expect.
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PokerStars Rolls Out New LSNG Leaderboard Promotion, Tetris + Spin & Go
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PokerStars has rolled out Tetris + Spin & Go, a temporary takeover of their ultra-popular lottery sit and go game with a new theme and a lucrative new promotion for players. F5poker first revealed that PokerStars was working on such a promotion back in September 2020. On Monday, it deployed globally on most licenses on the global dot-com pool as well as on France and Spain, part of the European shared liquidity network. The Spin and Go lobby in the client has been redesigned with a Tetris aesthetic, as have the tables. The game itself remains unchanged—fast, winner-takes-all sit and gos with a random top prize. What is new is the promotion on top: Tetris-themed leader boards. While the mechanics are fairly complicated—it involves Line Clears, Levels and Game Scores—it boils down to daily player rankings where cash prizes are given out to the highest volume players. For players that fall outside the cash prizes, the operator has a $5000 daily prize draw for players that finished in the top 500. In total, the operator says that over $1.5 million will be paid out in the dot-com market and almost as much—€1 million—in the Southern European market from now until the end of March. This works out at over $33,000 daily in dot-com, and €23,000 in Southern Europe. It appears to replace the previous long-running Spin & Go 20 and 50 leader boards. This had given away just over $20,000 a day and had run throughout much of 2020.
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BGC ices gambling talk on football social media sites
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The UK Betting and Gaming Council (BGC) is asking football clubs to refrain from discussing and promoting gambling on their social media sites in as part of an effort to avoid triggering problem gamblers. It’s move that may seem extreme to the layman, but will likely help keep UK gambling operators a step ahead of UK gambling regulators. Guidelines for how football clubs should handle discussions of gambling were sent out by the BGC late last week and utilize a plea from 50 former gambling addicts to make the case. They pointed out that seeing their favorite club site promoting gambling caused them “distress” and “encouraged” them to place wagers. As an effort to avoid these triggering moments, the BGC is recommending that football clubs refrain from promoting gambling operators or bonus offers and their “organic tweets”. This is a nod to the reality that gambling offers are ubiquitous on social media and that no one is really more than a click or two away from them on the internet anyways. BGC officials sent a letter detailing the new code of conduct to 11 football clubs, as well as to social media operators. In a statement reported on by SBC News, Brigid Simmonds OBE, Chairman of the BGC described the importance of the new standards saying, “Our members rightly have a zero tolerance approach to gambling by under-18s, so as an industry we are understandably concerned that children may be exposed to betting adverts on social media platforms. Our new guidelines make clear the standards expected of football clubs when they post gambling promotions on social media, and I look forward to them being put into practice as soon as possible.” The BGC guidelines are not legally binding, but members of the BGC who wish to remain in good standing are expected to abide by them. The post BGC ices gambling talk on football social media sites appeared first on .
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Town Council Bans Online Gambling Establishments in Branford
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This week, the Town Council of Branford, Florida banned the operations of establishments allowing any type of online gambling, including online gaming machines, sports betting facilities and online casino. The ordinance passed unanimously and there is no public comment or opposition voiced at a meeting on the matter. Earlier this month the same happened to Marion County where online gambling machines were banned. According to Town Council President, Ken Saunders, the ban was necessary for the town since it was so small, just a mile radius, and there was no place for online gambling activities. Another reason behind the decision is that there are many churches and residential areas, such as parks, playgrounds and schools and since the town is so small, there is no way to have protective zones around these facilities. This makes it difficult to keep an online gambling establishment like internet cafes that would allow online gambling and sports betting. The ordinance says “The Town Council finds it necessary to ban the operation of these establishments for the health, safety, morals and welfare of the community of Branford.” Donna Hardin, the town clerk of Branford for over 15 years said that the council did not want any kind of online gambling establishments inside the municipal limits. She added: “Our town is so small we don’t really have any room for it.” According to her, the town currently did not have any internet cafés and the council wanted to keep it that way. The ordinance stated that the ban is active for 12 months with an automatic 6-month extension, which could only be stopped or reduced by the council itself. Hardin said that during the 12-month period, the council would be able to keep a close eye on the problems regarding online gambling in town and later it would evaluate if more actions should be taken. Marion County Example According to Hardin, Branford’s council is learning from what happened to Marion County. The ban there was followed by robberies of online gambling machines and establishments in the county. The Branford vote is a preventive measure to ensure that no such thing could happen to the town. According to Marc Dunbar and Daniel Russell, who specialize in gambling law, internet cafes are considered to be convenience casinos or adult arcades, which offer online games that are almost identical to slot machines in casinos. They added that currently Florida has more types of gambling than any other state in the US. Meanwhile, measures should be taken to ensure a safer gambling experience. The town council does not plan to see any establishments like internet cafes within the borders of Branford. According to Saunders, meanwhile more businesses are built in the town that its citizens are more likely to enjoy. He added: “Our town is growing, but it’s businesses that everyone can use.” Source: “Branford bans online gambling establishments”, WUFT, February 15, 2021
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Thousands of jobs available at tribal casinos
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With millions of Americans out of work, the first sign of a recovery has to be in new jobs coming on the market. The tribal gaming industry is doing its part, with several operators posting new jobs in the past few weeks.Seneca Gaming Corporation has lots of jobs available at the Seneca Niagara Resort & Casino in Niagara Falls and Seneca Buffalo Creek Casino in downtown Buffalo. The operator will be hosting a job fair for open positions on February 25 between 10:00am and 6:00pm.“Even with the changes and challenges everyone has gone through over the past year, Seneca Gaming Corporation has remained one of the largest employers in Western New York, and we are excited to be growing our team across a variety of departments,” said Meghan Smith, Seneca Gaming Corporation’s vice president of human resources. “We truly believe that the time we spend at work should be rewarding, fulfilling and fun. That’s how we approach our jobs every day. If people are looking an opportunity in that type of environment, we are ready to talk to them.”Attendees can check out what’s on offer in person or virtually, but should be ready for an interview at a moment’s notice.On the other side of the country, the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians are also on the look out for fresh talent. That operator has more than 500 jobs to fill, with as many as 2000 coming for the rest of the year. They’ll be having their virtual career fair on February 18 from 9:00am to 4:00pm.“The expansion of San Manuel will offer an economic boost to the local job market at a time when it is really needed,” said Brigitte Saria, Chief People and Infrastructure Officer. “Our efforts to boost the local economy are guided by our commitment to ensuring our employment process and work environment follow leading health and safety standards.”The Chukchansi Gold Resort and Casino in Coarsegold, California are also hiring. The tribe is looking for 50 full-time and part-time positions, and will have a job fair on February 23 from 10:00am to 1:00pm.Add those jobs to the 150 that Oneida Nation Enterprises were offering as of last week, and there’s a lot to be hopeful for about the future of the economy, and particularly that of tribal gaming.Connecticut tribes close to new dealGovernor Ned Lamont wants sports betting in his state, and he needs a new deal with the tribes to get it done. He used his budget address to emphasize the push:“My administration has been in active negotiations with our tribal partners to bring the state’s gaming economy into the digital age. And I am submitting legislation which reflects what I believe to be the best bet in ending this stalemate of inaction in a way which is in the best interest [of] the entire state.”Construction resumes at Four WindsThe Pokagon Band of Potawatomi Indians’ contractor recently resumed building a hotel at Four Winds South Bend Casino. Construction slowed down significantly due to Covid-19.The new 23-story hotel was originally due to be completed this year. But with construction crews only working on the foundation now after a 10-month delay, maybe 2022 seems more accurate.
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Is Hellmuth vs Negreanu happening?
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We recap some stories you may have missed including a huge PKO event and how much of himself is Landon Tice playing for? KidPoker vs the Poker Brat? We hinted at it last week and now it seems confirmed that Daniel Negreanu and Phil Hellmuth will play heads-up.  Given both men are traditionally live players it seems inevitable that it will be face to face and streamed on PokerGO.  The early betting markets have suggested Hellmuth is the favourite, which seems ludicrous given how much Negreanu improved in his heads-up challenge against Doug Polk.  Happy to play anyone on @PokerGo App’s “High Stakes Duel.” Looks like they are bringing me the GREAT Daniel Negreanu @RealKidPoker, the guy that studied heads up for months w coaches I respect, so be it. It will be a great challenge for me! Hoping I don’t look like THIS photo!! pic.twitter.com/EpE1BqRMWP — phil_hellmuth (@phil_hellmuth) February 13, 2021 Tice has skin in the game The other big heads-up match in the works is Landon Tice vs Bill Perkins, and it has been the subject of a lot of debate this last week. Namely, how much does the poker wunderkind Landon Tice have invested in himself? Rumours circulated that he is playing for just 10% of himself in this challenge where he is already paying Bill Perkins $720,000 to play.  Tice confirmed that he has sold a lot of action for this event but while his percentage is low, it still means he has a lot of his net worth on the line: Let me make something clear that I'm sure everyone cares about regarding my challenge with @bp22 I'm selling a lot of action for it. A lot.I'm not rolled to battle at nosebleeds. However, I am putting a very large amount of my relative net worth on myself winning it. — Landon (@LandonTice) February 11, 2021 MicroMillions the biggest PKO ever? The MicroMillions Main Event was a PKO for the first time in its history and it (probably) automatically became the biggest field ever for a progressive knockout tournament.  49,487 entries for the $22 Main Event, which was not quite enough to hit the $1 million guarantee.  It did lead to one player bagging almost $60,000 for their troubles including $18,651.13 in bounties alone: The final table Table stakes only OK, so this week's meme classic from Reddit beats all those 'toilet roll poker home game' jokes from last year: When Polaks Play Poker from r/poker Will we see Hellmuth vs Negreanu heads-up? Let us know in the comments: Barry Carter Barry Carter is the editor of PokerStrategy.com and the co-author of The Mental Game of Poker 1 & 2, Poker Satellite Strategy and PKO Poker Strategy
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Pros Of Being A Professional Poker Player
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Being a professional poker player is a daring as well as exciting decision. If you’re successful at the game and want to quit your day job to become a poker pro, it’s an enticing opportunity. However, be warned: Poker strategies and rules are difficult to work, that isn’t for everyone. If you consider taking a risk to become a professional poker player, you should please ensure that it is an educated choice.  Here are some pros of becoming a professional poker player that might encourage you to take the next step!  Professionally Pursuing What You Love One of the most prevalent desires in the world is to do something that you love professionally. For anyone in the poker community saying that there’s profit in this, they’re certainly not doing it only for the money. They love the game and have passion for it. For those who don’t have that, must understand that it is a skill game and requires practice to get better. This is what encourages them to put in the research time required to excel and achieve success through the downtrends. Also Read: Advantages of Becoming a Professional at Poker Self Determination And Versatility Poker players set their own schedules which is a great thing for any professional in any field of work or sport. To stave off poker exhaustion and keep you going, getting this independence will go a long time away. Also, you’ll only be accessible to yourself. Versatility is something that is quite limited in a number of professions nowadays and there’s nothing quite like poker tournaments when it comes to versatility. That’s not to suggest, of course, that it’ll be straightforward. The assumption is that when you do so, no-one will be blowing down your neck. Earning Big Money There is still a lot of profit to be gained by playing online poker if you can achieve a high level of experience. In terms of rake and playing rewards, there have been a few improvements in the market in recent years that have limited online poker’s profitability, but it is still possible to obtain a decent income playing poker game. Getting in and getting out of micro stakes is one of the greatest obstacles facing emerging online pros these days. In present-day games, the high rake and low rakeback eat away at the winnings of a micro stakes player, making it difficult for them to achieve a good score overall. On the other hand, live poker has been and is likely still a highly lucrative enterprise for professional players. The live player average is much lower than the online player estimate. This may be because, in casinos, live poker is practiced and thus encourages individuals who play poker to bargain instead of because they are successful at it. Or it could be because of live poker’s social aspect. It’s a mix of both, perhaps.  For more interesting articles about poker or poker news, keep reading PokerShots!  Post Views: 39
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Did the next Macau bubble just start two weeks ago?
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The entire concept of a “bull market in stocks” makes little sense. Sound crazy? These days, certainly, because we’re always hearing about a perpetual bull market in stocks. Valuations increasingly disconnected from economic reality, asset bubbles in one class or another, armies of speculators moving like zombie hoards descending on the next fad and blowing it up to infinity and beyond, Buzz Lightyear-like.Why is the whole concept of a bull market generally, nonsense? Because if the value of everything is going up simultaneously, then nothing is going up. If everyone is a superhero, nobody is. If, in an imaginary economy, absolutely everything costs, say, $5, (labor, land, capital whatever) and then the next day everything costs $10, then what’s changed? The answer is absolutely nothing.The only thing that matters is relative valuations between asset classes. Let’s divide them into three of the most basic ones. Equities (stocks), bonds (debt), and commodities (consumer goods). If all three are going up in tandem, then there is no “bull market” in anything. If commodities are going up faster than stocks and bonds, you have inflation, or even hyperinflation. Ask anyone in Venezuela whether they care that their stock market is doing great, nominally. They don’t. They’re looking for their next glop of gruel or morsel of moldy bread to survive the day.But if stocks and bonds are rising and consumer goods are static to falling, you have a bull market in financial assets. This is where we are now. And boy are we really hard and deep into it now. Below is the ratio of the S&P 500 to the CRB Commodities Index.And I’ve got news for everyone. This bull market in stocks relative to consumer goods in dollar terms is already over. It ended almost a year ago. On April 20, 2020 to be exact. Red circle blowoff top above. That was when oil crashed to negative $35 a barrel and we all lived in an alternative financial freakhouse universe. But I have more news than that. This entire “bull market” in stocks has been one gigantic illusion from the very beginning. Stocks aren’t going up. They haven’t gone up for 21 years. Money is going down. Here is the graph of stocks relative to the prime monetary commodity, gold, over the same timeframe above.We can see here that from 1990 to 2000, we had a real bull market in stocks. Equities rocketed in gold terms and in terms of consumer goods generally. Everyone felt richer. Portfolios up, expenses down. But since that time, money has been dying at an accelerated pace and the standard of living has fallen.The bull market in stocks over the last 21 years has been an illusion, a tiny echo of the bull that ended at the turn of the century. We have spent the last 21 years trying to reinflate it, but gold has exposed the lie. We are now at the point where the illusion is about to collapse completely. In my view, we have only a few months left until it all hits the fan. Until then, the bubbles will keep coming in staccato frenetic fashion, moving from one asset class to another faster and faster, until we all get so dizzy we can’t follow it anymore. Last week I speculated that maybe the next target for the zombie hoard will be in penny gaming stocks. I was close. It’s in Macau stocks. It may already have started two weeks ago. The frenzy has started over news about China opening up again. I mean, just look at this crazy chart of the Macau proxy ETF:That last surge higher is just since February 1. We could be at the beginning of a crazy but brief ride higher in Macau stocks right now. New all time highs again, and Macau isn’t even fully open yet. The latest full month statistics for December show a 78.6% drop in visitors year over year. And yet we’re at new all time highs in these stocks already. It’s just completely crazy. I can understand the Macau opening up again trade, but to argue that this factor is being priced in at these levels, at new all time highs? As if none of this full year shutdown hurt any of the casinos fundamentally at all? That’s just totally bonkers crazy. It’s a reflection of the value of the currency these stocks are priced in, not the stocks themselves.What’s happening is that the zombie hoard of bubble chasers is reading the headlines regarding China starting to open up again, and they’re slamming buy orders and call options like they’ve been doing with tech stocks and Gamestop and BTC and all the other fads. We just got news out of Bloomberg that China’s Imax had a face-ripping rally due to exploding ticket sales. China is, indeed opening up, and the zombie hoard of speculators is now going to spray their money hoses at anything Chinese. Macau might be at the center of it.How high can this Macau bubble go, if that’s what we just saw start two weeks ago? The truth is, it doesn’t matter. If you get into it, you’ll get hooked and keep levering yourself up, counting your paper gains, unable to separate from them until you get caught in a vortex. At some point, my view this year, it’s all going to come crashing down when all the damage from 2020 is finally revealed all over the world. You can’t paper it over forever. The damage to Macau casinos doesn’t just go away. It festers in the form of more and more debt, and a damaged consumer base that can no longer patronize casinos in the way it once could. Festering wounds need the paper bandage removed and they need to be operated on. That is painful. And it’s coming.When we think of the word “bubble”, what are we really talking about? A bubble is something that looks, from the outside, to be really big and stable. The shape of it, a sphere, is the most stable shape in the universe. It’s why planets, stars, moons, and possibly even the spacetime continuum itself, spontaneously shape themselves into spheres. The force of gravity equalizes at every point on the sphere, forming equilibrium. Nature always seeks equilibrium. And so bubbles take on the illusion of stability, but unlike a real sphere, there’s nothing inside them. When they pop, they are gone almost instantly. This one is about to pop. Macau appears to be the next victim sucked up by the bubble. Macau will survive and rebuild. The question is, in what form? I wouldn’t take a bet the depended on me getting the answer to that question right.
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